SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY MINOR B-CLASS ENHANCEMENTS WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8350 (N20E67) IS A MODERATE SIZE CLASS E GROUP WITH A BIPOLAR MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION. OTHER REGIONS WERE STABLE OR DECLINING.

SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY VERY LOW. REGION 8350 IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. SOME HIGH LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING. SOLAR WIND DATA SHOW A HIGH SPEED, LOW DENSITY STREAM IN THE VICINITY OF THE EARTH. A RAPID INCREASE IN WIND SPEED, TOTAL FIELD, AND TEMPERATURE OCCURRED AROUND 02/0700Z. THE GREATER THAN 10 MEV PROTON EVENT THAT BEGAN ON 30 SEP CONTINUED TO DECAY DURING THE PERIOD AND FELL BELOW 10 PFU AT 02/0830Z. THE POLAR CAP ABSORPTION EVENT WAS DECLARED OVER AT 02/0300Z. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REACHED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR 03-04 OCT. PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME. THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD SUBSIDE ON 05 OCT WHEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS ARE EXPECTED.

  觀測的       02 OCT 113
  預測的   03 OCT-05 OCT  111/110/112
  90天平均值        02 OCT 129

OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 OCT  017/021
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 OCT  018/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 OCT-05 OCT  020/030-015/020-008/015