Solar activity increased to moderate levels. An M1 X-ray flare occurred at 14/1634 UTC. No ground-based optical reports were received for this flare, but SOHO/EIT images indicate that this flare originated near the northeast limb, possibly from newly numbered Region 9233 (N13E76). Region 9231 (S24E56) increased in spot count and area during the day. It produced occasional subflares, the largest of which was a C7/2n at 14/0806 UTC. A Type IV radio sweep began at 14/0831 UTC and may have been associated with the C7/2n flare. A Type II radio sweep occurred at 14/0902 UTC. Minor spot growth occurred in Region 9227 (S10W28).

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Isolated M-class flare activity is possible.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during most of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to decline to normal to moderate levels during the latter half of the period.

  觀測的       14 Nov 149
  預測的   15 Nov-17 Nov  155/155/160
  90天平均值        14 Nov 171

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 13 Nov  005/008
  估算值     Afr/Ap 14 Nov  003/008
  預測的    Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov  010/012-008/015-008/012