Solar activity remained at high levels today. Region 696 (N09W08) produced an M9/2n major flare at 06/0034Z. This flare had an associated Tenflare of 2700 sfu's, a Type IV spectral radio sweep, a Type II spectral radio sweep with an estimated shock velocity of 523 km/sec, strong discrete frequency radio bursts, and a partial halo CME seen in SOHO/LASCO imagery. A impulsive M1 x-ray event occurred later in the period at 06/1953Z. This region continues to show growth in penumbral coverage and magnetic complexity. Region 693 (S15W57) continues to decay and exhibits a simple north-south magnetic inversion line. Regions 697 (N05W52) and 698 (S10W42) were numbered today.

Solar activity is expected to remain at moderate to high levels for the next three days due to the complexity of Region 696.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels. The ACE spacecraft indicates that there should be a shock passage early on 07 November allowing for minor to major storm conditions due to the full halo CME resulting from the M5 event on 03 November. A weaker shock may also arrive later on 07 November due to the long duration C6/Sf event that resulted in a partial halo CME that occurred on 04 November at 0905Z. Another potential shock passage is expected on 08 November resulting from the combination of the M2 and M5 x-ray events and associated partial halo CME that occurred yesterday could produce periods of minor storming. The M9/2n event that produced yet another partial halo CME that occurred today should arrive Earth on 09 November in tandem with the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream which may result in periods of minor to major storm conditions. A slight chance of a greater than 10 MeV proton flux event in association with a major flare from Region 696 remains worthy of note.

  觀測的       06 Nov 129
  預測的   07 Nov-09 Nov  125/125/120
  90天平均值        06 Nov 110

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 05 Nov  001/004
  估算值     Afr/Ap 06 Nov  001/010
  預測的    Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  025/030-020/020-020/030