Solar activity dropped to very low levels. Region 696 (N08W87) is in decay and rotating quietly around the west limb. A weak Type II radio sweep (553 km/s) followed a B7 flare in Region 699 (S14E27). A faint CME was observed off the SE limb, which was not Earth directed. No other significant changes were noted.

Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Isolated C-class flares are possible.

The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels with major storm periods at high latitudes. This disturbance is due to the CME activity on 09 and 10 November. Solar wind speed ranged from 550 to over 700 km/s, but was trending down during the latter half of the period. The greater than 10 MeV proton event continues. The proton event began on 07/1910Z, following the X2 flare on 07/1606Z. The peak was 495 pfu at 08/0115Z and the current flux is ranging between 20 - 30 pfu. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on 13 November. Predominantly quiet to unsettled levels are expected on 14 and 15 November. The greater than 10 MeV proton event in progress now is expected to gradually decline to below the event threshold on 13 November.

  觀測的       12 Nov 097
  預測的   13 Nov-15 Nov  090/090/095
  90天平均值        12 Nov 108

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 11 Nov  022/023
  估算值     Afr/Ap 12 Nov  030/030
  預測的    Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov  015/015-008/010-008/010