Solar activity was at high levels. Region 808 (S09E44) produced an impulsive X1 major flare at 10/1643Z with an associated Tenflare of 600 sfu. Further significant activity included an M4/1n at 10/1936Z, an M3/1f at 10/0614Z, and an M1 at 10/0907Z. This region continues to exhibit an extremely complex and compact spot group with 1400 millionths of area visible in white light. Magnetic analysis continues to depict a very strong beta-gamma-delta configuration in the dominant central penumbral spot. Region 809 (N10E34) was quiescent during the period. No new regions were numbered today.

Solar activity is expected to be at high levels. Region 808 is expected to continue to produce major flares.

The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Southward Bz and continued transient flow are responsible for the elevated conditions. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began on 08/0215Z reached a peak flux of 1040 pfu at 10/1105Z. The greater than 100 MeV proton event that began at 08/0405Z reached a peak flux of 7 pfu at 09/1920Z.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels. Isolated major storm conditions may be possible on 11 September due to the full halo CME observed on 09 September, which was related to the X6/2b major flare. Isolated minor storm conditions are expected to continue on 12-13 September due to ongoing transient flow and a recurrent coronal hole. The greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to continue through the next three days. The greater than 100 MeV proton event is expected to end late on 11 September. Further major flare activity could prolong the proton events.

  觀測的       10 Sep 100
  預測的   11 Sep-13 Sep  100/105/105
  90天平均值        10 Sep 091

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 09 Sep  012/017
  估算值     Afr/Ap 10 Sep  016/020
  預測的    Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep  020/030-015/020-015/020