查看星期二, 5 3月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Mar 05 1322 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Warning condition

	10公分通量	Ap
05 Mar 2013	114	007
06 Mar 2013	115	011
07 Mar 2013	117	007

公告

NOAA AR 1686 (S12W52) produced an isolated M1.2 flare peaking at 07:54 UT, C-class level activity can be expected for the coming hours. Dimmings associated with this flare suggest the presence of a CME, but there is nothing visible in STEREO-A and no LASCO data yet. STEREO-B witnessed a full halo CME starting at 04:10 UT (COR2), this is a backsided event not expected to arrive to the Earth. A filament erupted south-east of NOAA AR 1688 (S15E31) at 23:00 UT on March 4 leading to a narrow CME seen by STEREO-B, this event is not believed to be Earth directed, even though there is no LASCO data yet to confirm (data gap). Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast speed stream in 24h that may lead to active levels.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：059，基於16個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 4 Mar 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	088
10厘米太陽通量	114
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	005
估計地磁Ap指數	004
估計國際太陽黑子數	060 - 基於25個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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