發布時間: 2013 Mar 22 1236 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2013 | 104 | 002 |
| 23 Mar 2013 | 104 | 001 |
| 24 Mar 2013 | 104 | 001 |
Flaring activity of the last few hours mainly originated from active region NOAA 1692, which is at the west limb now. The largest solar flare was an M1.6 flare which occurred at 21 March 22h UT. A CME was associated with this flare, visible in LASCO as well as in STEREO A and B. The CME seems to propagate to the west. At most we expect a glancing blow of this CME to arrive at Earth. We are currently under influence of a slow solar wind with a speed varying between 350 and 450 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field with a magnitude of 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so for the next 48 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):033,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 106 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
| AK Wingst | 014 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 016 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 033 - 基於19個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 電波爆發類型 | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 2142 | 2204 | 2236 | W limb | M1.6 | 1f | 106 | III/1 | 1692 |
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