發布時間: 2013 Apr 06 1209 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 2013 | 137 | 005 |
| 07 Apr 2013 | 138 | 010 |
| 08 Apr 2013 | 141 | 007 |
Solar activity has been active during the past 24 hours, with an M2.2 flare and two C flares. The M flare peaked at 17:48 UT on April 5, and was produced by new NOAA AR 11719 on the East limb. More C flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a good chance for an M flare, especially from NOAA AR 11719 and 11718. Solar wind speed as measured by ACE has been steadily increasing from about 260 km/s in the second part of April 5 till about 360 km/s around 12h UT on April 6. This could be due to the arrival of an expected coronal hole high speed stream. A further increase of the solar wind speed is possible on April 6. Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels (NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet (K Dourbes < 4) conditions are predicted for April 6 to 8 with a slight chance for active periods due to the possible arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):074,基於08個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 116 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 134 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 002 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 082 - 基於11個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 電波爆發類型 | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 | 1734 | 1748 | 1804 | ---- | M2.2 | 134 | 1719 |
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