發布時間: 2013 May 08 1250 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 May 2013 | 127 | 010 |
| 09 May 2013 | 127 | 007 |
| 10 May 2013 | 127 | 007 |
Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring five C flares from NOAA AR 11731, 11738, and a new unnumbered region near N03E89. More C-level flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. In the last 24 hours, the IMF has decreased further from 6 to 4 nT. Due to the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream, solar wind speeds have ranged between about 480 and 560 km/s, and currently lie around 500 km/s. Similar solar wind speeds are likely on May 8 and 9, with a probably return to lower values on May 10. Geomagnetic activity has been at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 2 and 3; NOAA Kp between 2 and 3) during the past 24 hours. Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for May 8 to 10.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):079,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 111 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 129 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 076 - 基於27個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 電波爆發類型 | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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