查看星期六, 8 6月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Jun 08 1247 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
08 Jun 2013	109	013
09 Jun 2013	108	011
10 Jun 2013	106	008

公告

Solar activity is low, with only three C-class flares and one M-class flare detected in last 24 hours. The M5.9 flare peaking at 22:49 UT on June 07 originated from the Catania sunspot group 96 (NOAA AR 1765) situated at that moment at the west solar limb, and was associated with a CME. From the currently available data it seems that the bulk of the CME mass was directed mostly southward of the Sun-Earth line and it is therefore not probable that the CME will arrive at the Earth. Fast growing Catania sunspot group 96 (NOAA AR 1765) which currently has beta-gamma configurations of its photospheric magnetic field, has a significant potential to produce a C-class flares, and possibly also M-class flares. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 4 nT, and the solar wind speed is currently 450 km/s. The arrival of the fast flow from the small equatorial coronal hole is expected today without significant geomagnetic impact. A CME-driven shock wave associated with the M1.3 flare on June 05, might be expected on June 09 producing at most unsettled geomagnetic conditions. We expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions during following 48 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：017，基於16個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 07 Jun 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	066
10厘米太陽通量	110
AK Chambon La Forêt	021
AK Wingst	025
估計地磁Ap指數	033
估計國際太陽黑子數	032 - 基於21個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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