查看星期四, 27 6月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Jun 27 1253 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
27 Jun 2013	105	008
28 Jun 2013	105	034
29 Jun 2013	107	008

公告

Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring two low C flares from NOAA AR 11774 and 11778. More C flares are possible within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. During the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed has decreased from about about 440 to 370 km/s, while the IMF varied between 1.5 and 4 nT. Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp = 1) during the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for June 27. On June 28, active levels (K Dourbes=4) with minor storm periods (K Dourbes = 5) are possible as a consequence of the expected arrival at Earth of a new coronal hole high speed stream. The coronal hole high speed stream's geomagnetic effects will likely decrease on June 29, when quiet to active levels (K Dourbes < 5) are expected.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：040，基於12個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 26 Jun 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	063
10厘米太陽通量	107
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	003
估計地磁Ap指數	002
估計國際太陽黑子數	041 - 基於18個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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