發布時間: 2013 Oct 31 1249 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2013 | 130 | 015 |
| 01 Nov 2013 | 125 | 024 |
| 02 Nov 2013 | 120 | 003 |
There was only one C flare on the Sun during the past 24 hours, originating from Catania sunspot region 29 (NOAA active region 11884). The X-ray background level has been reduced to the B-level. For the next 48 hours, M flares are expected. No Earth directed CMEs were observed. The proton flux measured by GOES is currently decreasing. Solar wind speed reached a maximum of 400 km/s as observed by ACE. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) increased from 6 to 12 nT, mainly with a positive Bz component. Geomagnetic activity is quiet to unsettled (local K at Dourbes and NOAA Kp between 0 and 3). Unsettled to minor storm conditions (K= 3 to 5) are possible within the next 48 hours, due to weak effects of the CMEs that erupted on October 28.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):089,基於16個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 142 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 024 |
| AK Wingst | 015 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 016 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 104 - 基於25個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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