查看星期日, 3 11月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Nov 03 1234 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 03 Nov 2013 到 05 Nov 2013 都有效
太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
03 Nov 2013142009
04 Nov 2013148006
05 Nov 2013152007

公告

The sun produced one M and six C flares during the past 24 hours. Catania sunspot region 29 (NOAA AR 11884) was responsible for the M1.6 flare peaking at 22:13 UT on November 2 and the M4.9 flare peaking at 5:16 UT on November 3. Two C flares originated from new region NOAA AR 11890. During the next 48 hours, more C flaring activity is expected with a chance for an M flare. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected. The proton flux for >10 MeV protons observed by GOES increased in the second half of November 2, but remained below the event threshold. A change in solar wind parameters was observed from 22:00 UT on November 2; the solar wind speed went to 400 km/s, while temperature also increased. Changes in magnetic field and density were too small for a shock. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was maximally 7 nT and the Bz- component was fluctuating between -5 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic activity is quiet to unsettled (local K at Dourbes and NOAA Kp between 0 and 3), which is expected to remain so within the next 48 hours. A small coronal hole near +20 degrees latitude has reached the central meridian, which might result in unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions from the end of November 5 (UT time).

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):084,基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 02 Nov 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量142
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst003
估計地磁Ap指數003
估計國際太陽黑子數077 - 基於08個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
02221322212225S12W11M1.61F29/1884
03051605220526S12W16M5.02B29/1884

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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