查看星期一, 13 1月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Jan 13 1221 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10公分通量	Ap
13 Jan 2014	149	008
14 Jan 2014	147	008
15 Jan 2014	144	006

公告

There are currently eight numbered sunspot groups on the solar disc, and the most complex one is the Catania sunspot group 98 (NOAA AR 1944). The flaring activity, during last 24 hours, was at the B-class level. The last C-class flare reported was C3.9 flare which peaked at 02:06 UT, on January 12. The flare originated from the Catania sunspot group 98 (NOAA AR 1944) which continues to decay, but remains classified as a beta- gamma sunspot group. We expect C-class flares and possibly but not very probably M-class flare. Catania sunspot group 98 (NOAA AR 1944) is at the moment close to the west solar limb, therefore, we maintain the warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a fast solar wind (800 km/s), associated with the extended (in latitude and in longitude) coronal hole in the northern hemisphere which first reached the central meridian on January 8. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 7 nT. We expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：095，基於16個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 12 Jan 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	155
AK Chambon La Forêt	019
AK Wingst	008
估計地磁Ap指數	008
估計國際太陽黑子數	095 - 基於29個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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