發布時間: 2014 Mar 22 1206 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2014 | 145 | 007 |
| 23 Mar 2014 | 145 | 006 |
| 24 Mar 2014 | 145 | 006 |
NOAA AR 2011 released an M1.1 flare today, March 22, peak 07:02UT. This flare was followed by another peak in the x-ray flux not entirely visible due to data dropouts from the GOES satellite occurring during a satellite eclipse. The Solar Demon software detected an eruption in SDO/AIA 94 images in the neighbourhood of NOAA AR 2005, peak 9:30UT. We expect more flaring activity in the C-level. Isolated M-flares are possible. CACTus software sent out a halo CME alert about a plasma eruption on March 20. It concerns the plasma eruption mentioned in the ursigram of March 20 associated with the M1.7 flare. Newly arrived data shows a faint appearance of a CME front in LASCO/SOHO C2 images that comes into the FOV at 04:36UT. The CME has an angular width of around 180 degrees. The solar wind picked up speed (around 450 km/s). The Bz component is positive resulting in a Kp of 2. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):118,基於08個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 152 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 153 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 009 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 010 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 087 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0658 | 0702 | 0705 | S10W71 | M1.1 | 1F | 87/2011 |
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