發布時間: 2014 May 24 1222 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2014 | 123 | 009 |
| 25 May 2014 | 123 | 007 |
| 26 May 2014 | 120 | 018 |
There were two low C flares during the past 24 hours. The brightest one was a C1.1 flare released by NOAA AR 12065, peaking at 9:13 UT on May 24. No new CMEs were observed. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is high (85%) and for M flares around 20%, especially from NOAA AR 12071, 12072, 12073, and 12065. Over the last 24 hours, the solar wind speed as observed by ACE decreased from around 500 km/s to about 450 km/s. Meanwhile the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) decreased from 12 to 3 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were active (K Dourbes = 4) from 18h until 23h UT on May 23, and there was a minor geomagnetic storm (K Dourbes = 5) from 23h until 1h UT. Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) prevailed over the rest of the last 24 hours. NOAA Kp was equal to 4 from 15h until 21h UT on May 23, and equal to 5 from 21h to 0h UT. Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on May 24 and 25. Quiet geomagnetic conditions with active periods are possible on May 26, due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):078,基於14個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 116 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 025 |
| AK Wingst | 018 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 019 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 062 - 基於24個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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