發布時間: 2014 Jun 19 1242 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2014 | 108 | 009 |
| 20 Jun 2014 | 105 | 009 |
| 21 Jun 2014 | 101 | 009 |
During the past 24 hours, only three C-class flares were reported, and all of them were weak (below C2 level). NOAA AR 2089 has the beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, but it produced only one C-class flare during this period. We expect flaring activity to continue on the C-level, in particular in NOAA ARs 2087 and 2089, as well as in the newly emerged NOAA AR 2095. Yesterday evening the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude reached 10 nT, with intervals of negative north-south IMF component. Active to minor storm geomagnetic conditions were reported (Kp = 5 by NOAA, K = 5 by IZMIRAN, K = 4 by Dourbes). Currently the Earth is inside a slow (around 440 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) IMF magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):068,基於13個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 111 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 028 |
| AK Wingst | 020 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 018 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 085 - 基於21個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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