發布時間: 2014 Jun 22 1422 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2014 | 099 | 005 |
| 23 Jun 2014 | 102 | 004 |
| 24 Jun 2014 | 107 | 022 |
Only one C-class flare took place in the past 24 hours: the C1.0 flare peaking at 19:46 UT on June 21 in the Catania sunspot group 89 (that, together with the Catania sunspot group 90, constitutes the NOAA AR 2093). It was accompanied by small coronal dimmings and a post-eruption arcade, but the associated CME (if any) was weak and narrow, so we do not expect it to arrive at the Earth. We expect flaring at the C-level in the Catania sunspot group 89 and in an unnumbered sunspot group that appeared from behind the east limb yesterday evening. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 370 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so until June 24, when we expect the arrival of the ICME associated with the partial halo CME on June 20, which may result in active to minor storm conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):063,基於18個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 101 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 006 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 065 - 基於29個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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