發布時間: 2014 Jul 25 1229 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2014 | 109 | 011 |
| 26 Jul 2014 | 115 | 007 |
| 27 Jul 2014 | 120 | 007 |
Solar activity has been mostly quiet except for Catania group 22 (NOAA AR 2121) which did produce another C2 flare peaking at 7:02 UT. The background X-ray flux rose slightly to around the B3 level. Similar conditions (essentially quiet but with a significant chance for an occasional low level C flare) are expected to continue with an increasing C flare probability as some returning active regions are turning into view over the next days. These will eventually also raise a slight chance for M level flares. No Earth directed CME's have been observed. After reaching maxima of just over 400km/s at the start of the reporting period, solar wind speed decreased to a minimum of about 310 km/s and later increased again gradually to values presently about 360 km/s. The total magnetic field varied essentially in the 2 to 6.5 nT range with Bz also variable in the +-6nT range. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 2-3 and NOAA Kp 1-3). Similar solar wind conditions as well as geomagnetic conditions (quiet to unsettled) are expected to continue over the next days.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):051,基於21個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 076 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 104 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 007 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 049 - 基於27個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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