發布時間: 2014 Aug 17 1205 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2014 | 115 | 006 |
| 18 Aug 2014 | 112 | 007 |
| 19 Aug 2014 | 112 | 011 |
No C flares were registered during the past 24 hours. In the next 48 hours, eruptive conditions (C flaring) are possible, especially from beta-gamma regions NOAA AR 2144 and 2139. Over the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE was stable around 280 km/s until it jumped to a plateau of about 300 km/s around 23h UT on August 16. Meanwhile, the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) increased from about 2 to 8 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on August 17, 18 and 19. The expected arrival of the halo CME of August 15 at the end of August 19 may induce active geomagnetic conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):080,基於11個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 112 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 002 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 077 - 基於24個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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