發布時間: 2014 Aug 24 1233 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2014 | 140 | 006 |
| 25 Aug 2014 | 146 | 007 |
| 26 Aug 2014 | 152 | 014 |
Solar activity continued to be low with a handful of C flares. The two most prominent were again, like yesterday, from NOAA AR 2146 and NOAA AR 2149. A C6 flare peaking at 17:27 UT originated from NOAA AR 2146 and a C5.5 flare peaking at 5:02 UT originated from NOAA AR 2149. Both were associated with eruptions but no earth directed CME's were detected in coronagraph images. Low solar activity with C flares and a chance for an M flare is expected to continue. Solar wind conditions were nominal. Solar wind speed dropped steadily from around 310 km/s at the start of the reporting period to around 270 km/s currently. Total magnetic field was variable in the 1.5 to 6 nT range with Bz also variable in the +-4nT range. The phi angle was mostly positive (away). Geomagnetic conditions were quiet with a local unsettled period around UT noon August 23 (NOAA Kp=1 throughout the period while local K Dourbes between 0-3). Nominal solar wind conditions and quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue until the combined arrival of the August 22 CME's expected from the afternoon of August 26 onwards. This may be associated with active geomagnetic conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):106,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 132 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
| AK Wingst | 005 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 004 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 107 - 基於22個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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