發布時間: 2014 Oct 02 1210 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2014 | 150 | 012 |
| 03 Oct 2014 | 145 | 012 |
| 04 Oct 2014 | 142 | 013 |
There are currently 9 sunspot groups on the solar disk, but all are quiet. No C-class flares were recorded, with the x-ray flux varying between the C1.0 and C3.2 level (21:10UT). No earth directed CMEs were observed. A filament eruption occurred near the Central Meridian (30 degrees north) around 06:00UT, but analysis of the geo-effectiveness of any related CME is pending the availability of coronagraphic imagery. The two big filaments in the western hemisphere remained quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with a chance on an isolated M-class flare. Solar wind speed was stable around 380 km/s. Bz varied between -6 and +5 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed and are expected to remain so, with an active episode possible.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):099,基於12個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 170 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 155 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 012 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 102 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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