發布時間: 2014 Nov 07 1230 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov 2014 | 137 | 006 |
| 08 Nov 2014 | 138 | 007 |
| 09 Nov 2014 | 139 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2205 continued to produce M level flares, although all four were below M3 level. The strongest was an M2.7 flare peaking at 2:49 UT followed by an M2 flare at 4:25 UT. The corresponding CME was weak and not Earth directed. Flaring at M level is expected to continue with a slight chance for an X flare. Solar wind speed was nominal and slightly decreasing from values around 470 km/s level to values around 450 km/s. Total magnetic field initially decreased below the 6nT level, but following a sector boundary crossing from a negative into a positive sector around 00:30 UT, it became more variable and increased again reaching levels close to 9nT currently, while returning to a negative sector. Bz was mostly positive or neutral but had some excursions down to -6nT before and after the sector boundary crossing. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 1-3). Nominal solar wind conditions are expected to continue with associated quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):075,基於05個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 136 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 077 - 基於17個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 | 2153 | 2216 | 2234 | N14E45 | M2.5 | 1N | 200 | --/2205 | III/2 |
| 07 | 0205 | 0249 | 0332 | N17E50 | M2.7 | 2N | --/2205 | VI/1 | |
| 07 | 0412 | 0425 | 0438 | ---- | M2.0 | --/2205 | |||
| 07 | 1013 | 1022 | 1030 | N15E43 | M1.0 | SF | --/2205 |
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