查看星期二, 18 11月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Nov 18 1208 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
18 Nov 2014	167	015
19 Nov 2014	169	013
20 Nov 2014	175	013

公告

Although NOAA AR 2209 maintains the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, it produced only two weak C-class flares during the past 24 hours. The strongest flare was the C1.8 flare peaking at 08:09 UT today. It was not associated with a CME. No other active region produced C-class flares. We expect flaring activity on the C-level to continue in the NOAA AR 2209, with an M-class flare possible but unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 450 km/s) solar wind flow with average (5-6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude. Even if the IMF was strongly fluctuating, it was directed predominantly southward during several hours yesterday, resulting in intervals of active geomagnetic conditions (K = 4) reported by Dourbes (one interval) and IZMIRAN (two intervals). Other than that, the geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so, possibly with isolated intervals of active conditions.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：066，基於08個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 17 Nov 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	168
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	012
估計地磁Ap指數	012
估計國際太陽黑子數	073 - 基於17個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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