發布時間: 2014 Dec 16 1221 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2014 | 172 | 005 |
| 17 Dec 2014 | 175 | 007 |
| 18 Dec 2014 | 175 | 007 |
The Sun released twelve C flares during the past 24 hours, all but two produced by NOAA AR 2242, which now has beta-gamma-delta configuration. The brightest flare was a C5.6 flare released by AR 2242 peaking at 11:40 UT on December 16. In the next 24 hours, C flaring and an occasional M flare are possible, especially from AR 2242 and 2241. After having increased from about 410 to 540 km/s on December 15, the solar wind speed observed by ACE decreased again to its current value of about 410 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) decreased from about 10 to 6 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 16, 17 and 18.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):122,基於11個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 169 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 024 |
| AK Wingst | 018 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 017 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 119 - 基於11個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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