發布時間: 2015 Jan 25 1343 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2015 | 125 | 007 |
| 26 Jan 2015 | 127 | 007 |
| 27 Jan 2015 | 129 | 007 |
Solar activity in past 24h has been low. Only minor C-class flaring observed. NOAA AR 2263, produced the strongest one, a C1.2 flare with peak at 20:52 UT. NOAA AR 2268 has potential for larger flares but has been quiet lately. A slow partial halo CME was seen at 15:48 UT on January 24 from a filament eruption close to disk center. Although the eruption is mostly directed to the south, a part of it may hit the Earth on January 29. Due to the southward direction and the low speed, this CME is not expected to be highly geoeffective. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet. The fast speed stream from another high latitude coronal hole may influence the Earth today, although its effect may have missed the Earth due to its location far from the ecliptic plane.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):043,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 125 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 006 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 043 - 基於18個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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