發布時間: 2015 Feb 16 1229 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2015 | 120 | 006 |
| 17 Feb 2015 | 125 | 007 |
| 18 Feb 2015 | 130 | 007 |
The solar activity during the past 24 hours was low. The background of the X-ray flux is at the B-level for almost a week now. The active regions (AR) NOAA 2282, 2284 and 2285 were relatively stable and did not produce any significant flares. A new -still to be numbered- region is rounding the East limb (N15) and is a candidate to produce some C-flaring. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Nominal solar wind conditions are observed with a low solar wind speed near 350 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude ranges between 5 and 10 nT with a fluctuating, but mainly positive Bz component. A sector boundary crossing from negative to positive occurred near 9h30 UT 16 February, accompanied by a small jump (from 6 to 10 nT) in the IMF magnitude. Quiet solar wind conditions are expected to persist. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, both at the local level (at Dourbes) and global level (estimated NOAA Kp) and are expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):035,基於12個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 006 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 046 - 基於19個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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