查看星期三, 18 2月 2015歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2015 Feb 18 1232 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 18 Feb 2015 到 20 Feb 2015 都有效
太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
18 Feb 2015120017
19 Feb 2015125006
20 Feb 2015130008

公告

The solar activity was very low. Regions NOAA 2284 and 2285 were decaying further, while NOAA 2282 was stable. Flaring activity is expected to remain low, with some chance for C-flares during the next two days. No CMEs Earth directed CMEs were observed. The interplanetary magnetic field was enhanced but with a decreasing magnitude from 14 to 5 nT. The Bz component mostly was negative. The disturbance starting at 9:40 UT on 16th of February possibly is related to a equatorial CH that passed the central meridian on the 11th of February. The solar wind speed steadily increased from about 400 to 470 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled, with a several time slots of active conditions (K=4) at the global and local level (after 18 UT on the 17th and at 3 and 4 UT on the 18th of February at the local level at Dourbes). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled levels for the next 48 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):060,基於10個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 17 Feb 2015

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量119
AK Chambon La Forêt038
AK Wingst021
估計地磁Ap指數023
估計國際太陽黑子數021 - 基於24個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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