發布時間: 2015 Mar 01 1229 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar 2015 | 123 | 027 |
| 02 Mar 2015 | 125 | 017 |
| 03 Mar 2015 | 127 | 012 |
Solar activity was dominated by C-class flares from NOAA AR 2290 and 2994. The strongest was a C3.7 flare from NOAA AR 2290 peaking at 05:13 UT. More C-class flares are expected with chances of M-class flaring. Two full halo CMEs occurred on February 28. Both were backsided events. One starting at 04:36 UT (LASCO-C2) and the other at 21:36 UT. Additionally a CME directed to the NW was seen erupting at 15:12 UT, this is a frontside event coming from north of NOAA AR 2292. This CME was slow, it may arrive to the Earth on March 4 and cause at most minor storm conditions. Geomagnetic activity was dominated by a fast speed stream that caused active conditions with isolated minor storm periods starting at midnight on March 1 and still ongoing. The solar wind speed is around 500 km/s with magnetic fields intensities of 10 nT. More active conditions can be expected for today.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):054,基於14個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 123 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 035 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 013 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | /// - 基於///個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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