查看星期五, 13 3月 2015歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2015 Mar 13 1247 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 13 Mar 2015 到 15 Mar 2015 都有效
太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
13 Mar 2015124009
14 Mar 2015122010
15 Mar 2015120011

公告

Over the past 24 hours there were several C-class flares and 4 M-class flares which were produced by NOAA AR (Active Region) 2297, which is currently located at S20, and is classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta region under the Mount Wilson magnetic classification system. The largest flares recorded over the past 24 hours, all produced by AR 2297, were an M4.2 flare on 2015-Mar-12 peaking at 14:08UT, an M2.7 flare on 2015-Mar-12 peaking at 21:51UT, an M1.2 flare on 2015-Mar-13 peaking at 04:01UT and an M1.8 flare on 2015-Mar-13 peaking at 06:07UT. AR 2297 has shown little magnetic evolution with a small amount of flux emergence, which may lead to future eruptions. AR 2299 rotated into view and exhibits a small amount of activity. AR 2298 has shown little activity. There were no discernible Earth directed CMEs over the past 24 hours. There is a large filament located between S15W90 and S50E20, however this has remained, and appears, stable. The solar wind speed has remained roughly constant over the past 24 hours around 425 km/s. The total magnetic field has slightly increased from 5 nT to 7 nT, and the Bz component has remained mainly positive over the past 24 hours. The Bz has ranged between +6 and -9 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-3 (NOAA) and local K index 0-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A transient coronal hole is currently located at S05W50, this may produce enhanced solar wind speeds. AR 2297 and AR 2299 produced several small CMEs over the past 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):058,基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 12 Mar 2015

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量127
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst007
估計地磁Ap指數008
估計國際太陽黑子數048 - 基於24個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
12113811501202----M1.601/2297
12120912141218----M1.422001/2297
12135014081413S15E06M4.22B5301/2297VI/1III/2V/2IV/1
12214421512156----M2.723001/2297III/3V/3II/1
13034704010416----M1.201/2297
13054906070612----M1.801/2297III/2

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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