發布時間: 2015 Apr 08 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr 2015 | 109 | 012 |
| 09 Apr 2015 | 108 | 020 |
| 10 Apr 2015 | 108 | 021 |
Beta-delta region NOAA AR 2320 released two low C flares during the past 24 hours. The strongest flare was a C1.1 flare which peaked at 21:31 UT on April 7. In the next 24 hours, more C flaring is expected, with a slight chance for an M flare, especially from AR 2320. Solar wind speed further decreased from about 400 to 350 km/s over the past 24 hours, while the Interplanetary Magnetic Field magnitude varied between 2 and 6 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). There is a chance for active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 4) on April 8 due to a possible glancing blow of the partial halo CME of April 4. Active to minor storm (K Dourbes = 5) intervals are possible in the second half of April 9, as a result of a glancing blow from the CME of April 6. Quiet to active geomagnetic activity is possible on April 10, as a new coronal hole high speed stream is expected to arrive near Earth.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):032,基於18個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 111 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 004 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 038 - 基於32個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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