發布時間: 2015 Jun 07 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun 2015 | 139 | 012 |
| 08 Jun 2015 | 144 | 016 |
| 09 Jun 2015 | 148 | 010 |
Only two C-class flares occurred during the past 24 hours: C2.2 flare peaking yesterday at 22:34 UT in the NOAA AR 2364 and C1.6 flare peaking today at 10:35 UT in the NOAA AR 2362. A strong B-class flare (B9.6) was produced by the NOAA AR 2361. We expect flaring activity on the C-level in at least one of these active regions, with an M-class flare being unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind flow with the speed around 350 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is enhanced (up to 12 nT) in association with the apparent sector boundary crossing that occurred around 02:00 UT on June 7. This indicates the arrival of the interaction region between the slow and fast solar wind flows, with the fast flow emanating from the low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere. The geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet due to low solar wind speed and predominantly northward IMF in the strong field region, but a disturbance up to active level (K = 4) may occur due to the arrival of the fast stream later today or early tomorrow. A geomagnetic storm (K > 4) is unlikely.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):094,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 133 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
| AK Wingst | 005 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 005 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 080 - 基於31個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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