發布時間: 2015 Jun 30 1256 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2015 | 091 | 008 |
| 01 Jul 2015 | 090 | 013 |
| 02 Jul 2015 | 091 | 007 |
Solar activity was relatively quiet, with only NOAA Active Region (AR) 2373 producing two C class flares in the last 24 hours, A C2.3 flare peaking at 14:55 UT and a C2.4 flare peaking at 18:07 UT. Other recurrent active regions are rotating into view now and may increase solar activity in the coming days. Proton levels are still declining and are now below 1 pfu. The solar wind speed has remained roughly constant over the past 24 hours, and has varied between 360 km/s to 440 km/s. The total magnetic field has been slowly decreasing from 6 nT to 3 nT, and the Bz component has fluctuated from positive to negative between +6 and -5 nT, but remained around 0 nT for the past several hours. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-2 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 over the past 24 hours. There were no significant CMEs over the past 24 hours. A small CME emerged from the East solar limb, possibly from AR 2375. The CME had a recorded velocity of 625 km/s but is not expected to be geoeffective.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):032,基於24個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 049 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 097 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 006 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 032 - 基於34個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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