發布時間: 2015 Jul 24 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2015 | 091 | 013 |
| 25 Jul 2015 | 094 | 018 |
| 26 Jul 2015 | 097 | 009 |
There are currently 4 small sunspot groups visible on the solar disk. NOAA 2389, still close to the southeast limb, seems to show some mixed magnetic polarities. It was the source of the sole C-class flare of the period (C1.0 at 03:12UT). No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
There's a chance on another isolated C-class flare.
Solar wind speed gradually declined from values between 500 and 550 km/s to its current 400 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -8 and +6 nT. Active episodes were observed between 17:00-21:00UT. A small equatorial positive coronal hole is transiting the central meridian.
Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an active period in response to the high speed stream from the positive CH on the northern hemisphere.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):037,基於15個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 029 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 089 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
| AK Wingst | 023 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 019 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 033 - 基於29個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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