查看星期六, 19 12月 2015歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2015 Dec 19 1230 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
19 Dec 2015	117	018
20 Dec 2015	117	013
21 Dec 2015	117	007

公告

The Sun produced two C flares in the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a C3.1 flare released by NOAA AR 2468, peaking at 2:04 UT on December 19. C flares are possible within the next 24 hours, with a chance (15%) for an M flare. During the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 400 to 350 km/s with intermittent peaks up to 440 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 1 and 6 nT. During the past 24 hours, quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels were registered (K Dourbes between 1 and 3, NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Due to the expected arrival of the December 16 CMEs, active to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 4-5) are expected on December 19, with a chance for moderate to major storm conditions (K Dourbes = 6-7). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels are expected on December 20 and 21, with a chance for active (K Dourbes = 4) excursions.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：049，基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 18 Dec 2015

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	117
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	007
估計地磁Ap指數	005
估計國際太陽黑子數	050 - 基於14個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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