查看星期二, 9 3月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Mar 09 1230 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 09 Mar 2021 到 11 Mar 2021 都有效
太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
09 Mar 2021080011
10 Mar 2021080012
11 Mar 2021079007

公告

The X-ray flux remained below C-level. Active region NOAA 2806 is turning behind the limb. A new region, Catania group 78 is rotating to the disk in the NE. X-ray flux is expected to remain below C-level.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in coronagraph data.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux peaked over the 1000 pfu event threshold during its diurnal maximum and is expected do so again today. The 24h electron fluence reached moderate levels and is expected to remain on those levels considering the enhanced solar wind conditions.

A low latitude corona hole of negative polarity in the southern hemisphere is expected to start crossing the central meridian today. Its effects to the solar wind conditions are expected after the noon of the 12th March.

Solar wind showed a slow decline of the enhanced solar wind conditions. Solar wind speed is around 450 km/s and is expected to slowly decline further. The magnetic field strength is below 5 nT and is expected to remain weak. The magnetic field was directed away from the Sun. Solar wind conditions are expected to further decay slowly over the next couple of days. The corona hole crossing the solar meridian today is expected to effect the solar wind conditions in approximately 3 days. By that time a boundary crossing is expected to occur. The magnetic field strength to increase significantly.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes had values 0-3). They are expected to remain quiet to unsettled with a general decaying trend. An increase is expected beginning in the 12 March, as today's coronal hole crossing is expected to affect the geomagnetic conditions.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):022,基於09個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 08 Mar 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量080
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst008
估計地磁Ap指數006
估計國際太陽黑子數013 - 基於24個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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