查看星期四, 8 4月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Apr 08 1230 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 08 Apr 2021 到 10 Apr 2021 都有效
太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
08 Apr 2021076006
09 Apr 2021077004
10 Apr 2021075004

公告

The solar activity has been very low over the past 24 hours. The Sun is currently spotless and no active regions are present. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, but has a small chance to exceed this level during the next 24 hours. This is due to the influence of the high speed stream associated with the Coronal Hole at Central Meridian on April 3. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to increase over the next 24 hours. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 410 and 520 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has slowly decreased from around 14 to 0 nT. The values of the Bz component varied between -13 and +10 nT, fluctuating around 0 nT since April 6 21:30UT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun). During the first part of the 24-hour window, conditions near Earth seemed to be under the influence of the high speed stream associated with the Coronal Hole at Central Meridian on April 3. A small, negative polarity, southern coronal hole is currently at central Meridian. The associated high speed stream can be expected about April 11. The solar wind parameters are expected to decrease over the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions reached minor storm levels (Kp=5) as a response to the influence of the aforementioned high-speed stream. NOAA Kp ranged between 0-5 and local K Dourbes between 1-4 over the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):000,基於14個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 07 Apr 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量076
AK Chambon La Forêt023
AK Wingst016
估計地磁Ap指數018
估計國際太陽黑子數000 - 基於25個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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