查看星期四, 3 6月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Jun 03 1243 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
03 Jun 2021	077	013
04 Jun 2021	077	011
05 Jun 2021	077	007

公告

The solar activity was quiet over the past 24 hours, with the GOES X-ray flux remaining below C-level. The bipolar sunspot group (Catania sunspot group 1, NOAA 2827) has continued to decay, a new sunspot region (NOAA 2829) that rotated over the East limb in the South hemisphere yesterday is a unipolar magnetic region not showing any significant activity. The solar activity is expected to remain mostly quiet.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) has been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels in the last 24 hours and is expected to stay at normal levels for the next 24 hours.

A solar wind shock was observed at 12:20 UT on June 02 in the solar wind parameters as registered by DSCOVR. The solar wind speed jumped from 289 km/s to 325 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude jumped from 3 nT to 6 nT. This solar wind shock is associated with the expected glancing blow from the coronal mass ejection that was observed on May 28 close to the West limb. This solar wind shock was followed by some enhancements in the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude that reached 12.2 nT, on Jun 03 around 06:00 UTC. This is associated with a sector boundary crossing with the change of the phi angle that turned positive (i.e. the magnetic field lines extending away from the sun). The solar wind speed remained, however, slow for the whole 24-hour period around 300 km/s. The high-speed stream associated with the equatorial coronal hole (that reached the central meridian on May 31) may enhance the solar wind condition later today or tomorrow.

The geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to active over the past 24 hours (max K-Dourbes = 4, and max NOAA-Kp = 3) due to the solar wind shock observed at 12:20 UT on June 02, and the sector boundary crossing around at 06:00 UTC on June 03. The conditions may become more active with the arrival of the high-speed streams from the equatorial coronal hole (that reached the central meridian on May 31) later today or tomorrow.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：029，基於21個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 02 Jun 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	076
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	009
估計地磁Ap指數	007
估計國際太陽黑子數	029 - 基於29個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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