查看星期日, 18 7月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Jul 18 1242 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
18 Jul 2021	080	003
19 Jul 2021	078	001
20 Jul 2021	076	001

公告

Solar activity was at very low levels during the last 24 hours, with several B-class flares been detected. NOAA Active Region (AR) 2842 (Catania group 17) produced only one B-class flare in the last 24 hours. NOAA AR 2843 (Catania group 18) produced most of the flare activity during the last 24 hours, including the brightest flare of B9.7 magnitude. NOAA AR 2844 has now turned in Earth-view and produced a number of B-class flares during the last 24 hours. NOAA AR 2845 continues to grow but did not produce any noticeable activity in the last 24 hours. NOAA AR 2842 is expected to continue at the same level of activity for the next 24 hours. NOAA AR 2843 has now turned away from Earth view hence no more flare activity is likely to be detected. NOAA AR 2844 is expected to remain at the same level of activity, with a good chance of a C-class flare in the next 24 hours. NOAA AR 2845 is expected to grow and increase its flare activity during the next 24 hours.

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was observed by LASCO-C2/SOHO 18 July 02:48UT that is possibly Earth-directed. It speed estimation is around 600 km/s. It is expected to reach Earth around 20 July. A filament eruption was observed by SDO/AIA 193 18 July 10:24 UT, however, its geo-effectiveness can only be assessed when more coronograph images are available.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to remain below this level during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind speed was between 370 and 420 km/s during the last 24 hours. The total magnetic field remained low, with values between 2 and 6 nT in the last 24 hours. The Bz was also low, with values between -3 and 5 nT during the last 24 hours. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly negative (directed towards the Sun) during the last 24 hours. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain in the slow solar wind regime for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both globally and locally (NOAA Kp 1-2 and K Dourbes 0-2). They are expected to be at quiet levels for the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：045，基於21個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 17 Jul 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	077
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	006
估計地磁Ap指數	004
估計國際太陽黑子數	045 - 基於26個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

<< 回到每日概觀