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SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Aug 01 1240 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
01 Aug 2021	076	002
02 Aug 2021	077	004
03 Aug 2021	078	004

公告

The visible solar disc is spotless and the X-ray flux is below C-level. A long duration B2.4-class flare was observed near NOAA AR-2849 Plage. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours.

A large coronal dimming associated with the long duration B2.4-class flare was observed on July 31 from 15:54 UTC to 18:06 UTC in the south-west quadrant (near latitude -12 degrees and longitude 30 degree). Further investigation on this event will be provided as data comes in.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels in the last 24 hours and is expected to stay at normal levels for the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters (as observed by ACE and DSCOVR) show the continuation of a slow return towards an ambient background and slow solar wind speed regime. Solar wind speed decreased from about 460 km/s to 400 km/s. Total interplanetary magnetic field strength remained below 5 nT. The Bz component underwent only weak deviations between -4.0nT and +3.5 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to continue it slow returned toward a slow solar wind speed regime. The solar wind may be temporarily slightly enhanced later today due to some possible effect of the arrival of the coronal mass ejection observed on July 28 at 10:36 UTC (with a projected speed of 400 km/s).

The geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet over the past 24 hours with some short periods of unsettled condition observed at the local station Dourbes (K-Dourbes = 3). The conditions are expected to remain quiet as the Earth is expected to remain in the mostly slow solar wind speed regime for the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：010，基於14個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 31 Jul 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	076
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	008
估計地磁Ap指數	007
估計國際太陽黑子數	002 - 基於28個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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