查看星期日, 24 10月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Oct 24 1232 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
24 Oct 2021	090	004
25 Oct 2021	092	003
26 Oct 2021	094	006

公告

Solar activity was at very low levels. NOAA Active Region (AR) 2887 (beta configuration) has showed signs of further flux emergence and has been producing B-class flares. NOAA AR 2886 (Catania sunspot region 64) remained stable. Catania sunspot group 65 decayed into a plage region. Two new active regions have also begun to rotate onto the south-east of the solar disk. Solar activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours with C-class flares probable, particularly from NOAA AR2887 and from the new ARs now rotating onto the solar disk.

No Earth directed CMEs have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to remain below this threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind speed (DSCOVR) ranged between 330 to 390 km/s. The total magnetic field ranged from 1 nT to around 6 nT. The Bz varied between -5 and +5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards from the Sun). The solar wind speed is expected to continue to reflect a slow solar wind regime on Oct 24 and Oct 25.

Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet levels (NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes recorded values of 0-1 and 0-2, respectively). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet on Oct 24 and Oct 25.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：035，基於20個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 23 Oct 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	087
AK Chambon La Forêt	005
AK Wingst	003
估計地磁Ap指數	002
估計國際太陽黑子數	050 - 基於27個觀測站

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由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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