查看星期日, 7 11月 2021歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2021 Nov 07 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
07 Nov 2021	088	009
08 Nov 2021	087	017
09 Nov 2021	087	007

公告

Several B flares and only a single C flare were recorded, all originating from the new region in the South East (NOAA region 2894) which is the only region on disc with beta type configuration of the photospheric field, with the formation of trailing spots over the past days. Region 2893 remains unipolar and remained inactive while region 2891 lost most of its spots but did produce a long duration B7.1 flare peaking at 10:35UT. In the North East a spotless region has turned onto the disc. Flaring at C level remains possible.

A filament eruption occurred from just to the West of NOAA 2893 around noon November 6, but no corresponding CME signatures could be identified in coronagraph images. No new Earth directed CMEs have been recorded in coronagraph data.

The more than 10MeV proton flux was at background values and is expected to remain at background values. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached again above the 1000 pfu threshold yesterday and is also today above the threshold. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to be at moderate or even high levels with the continued elevated Solar wind conditions.

Solar wind conditions saw a gradual decay after the CME arrivals. The Solar wind speed decreased to under 500 km/s while the magnitude of the interplanetary field was at around or under 5nT. The Bz evolved steadily from -4nT to 4nT, meaning it was persistently negative yesterday afternoon. Solar wind conditions may become slightly elevated again from later today or early tomorrow November 8 due to possible weak high speed stream influences related to a small positive polarity equatorial coronal hole.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 0-4) with the active conditions in response to the sustained negative Bz yesterday afternoon. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled over the next days with active periods possible, depending on the strength of the high speed stream.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：029，基於17個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 06 Nov 2021

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	082
AK Chambon La Forêt	030
AK Wingst	022
估計地磁Ap指數	021
估計國際太陽黑子數	034 - 基於21個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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