查看星期五, 7 1月 2022歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2022 Jan 07 1237 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 07 Jan 2022 到 09 Jan 2022 都有效
太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
07 Jan 2022098003
08 Jan 2022102008
09 Jan 2022106012

公告

Solar activity was at low levels. NOAA Active Region 2924 (Catania group 1) was responsible for 2 low level C-class flares (C1.1) and has shown further spot development over the period. NOAA AR 2925 (Catania group 2) was stable. Two large active regions are expected to rotate onto the disk on the next days. Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with C-class flares likely.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the available coronagraph data.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron flux remained under the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain just under this threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to be at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

The Solar wind parameters reflected a slow solar wind regime. The solar wind speed ranged between 310 and 380 km/s (ACE). The total magnetic field magnitude oscillated around 5 nT, with a variable Bz component. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun). The solar wind speed is expected to continue to reflect a slow solar wind regime on Jan 07. From late on Jan 08, the Earth is expected to be influenced by the High Speed Stream (HSS) associated with the extension of the southern polar coronal hole that began to traverse the central meridian on Jan 05.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA Kp and local K Belgium 0-2) and are expected to be quiet on Jan 07 and Jan 08. Unsettled conditions with possible isolated active intervals are expected on Jan 09, due the HSS influence.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):049,基於10個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 06 Jan 2022

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量094
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst000
估計地磁Ap指數001
估計國際太陽黑子數035 - 基於23個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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