查看星期三, 27 4月 2022歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2022 Apr 27 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
27 Apr 2022	151	006
28 Apr 2022	151	007
29 Apr 2022	151	007

公告

Solar flaring activity was mostly at low levels over the last 24 hours with few C-class flares from several active regions that are located on the solar disc visible from Earth. Two new regions have turned around the visible disc, Catania sunspot group 91 (NOAA active region 3000) and Catania sunspot group 92 (NOAA active region 3001). For the next 24 hours, C-class flares are expected with still also a small chance for an M-class flare.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) has been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the last 24 hours.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to remain below the threshold in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected remained at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters in Earth environment (as recorded by DSCOVR) showed a solar wind speed regime close to ambient background levels over the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed fluctuated around 370 km/s and 470 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude remained below 6 nT with a magnetic field orientation indicating connection to a positive polarity sector. Currently the solar wind interplanetary magnetic field magnitude shows and an increase up to 10 nT possibly due to the passage of a solar wind transient event. An equatorial coronal hole (negative polarity) is now facing Earth. The high-speed streams coming from this coronal hole is expected to reach Earth in about three days.

The geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet (NOAA Kp 0-2) with short sporadic periods of unsettled conditions observed by the local station in Belgium (K-Belgium 0-3). Due to the passage of the solar wind transient event, the geomagnetic conditions may be more active in the following hours. Then geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet with possible isolated periods of unsettled condition for the next couple of days before the arrival of the fast solar wind originating from the equatorial coronal hole currently facing Earth.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：130，基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 26 Apr 2022

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	142
10厘米太陽通量	150
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	003
估計地磁Ap指數	003
估計國際太陽黑子數	120 - 基於30個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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