查看星期四, 10 11月 2022歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2022 Nov 10 1239 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
10 Nov 2022	138	005
11 Nov 2022	138	011
12 Nov 2022	138	007

公告

The solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at low levels. The largest flare was a C4.3-class flare peaking at 20:05 UTC on Nov 09 and produced by new sunspot region on the solar surface visible from Earth. Several C-class flares were also produced by the most complex bipolar sunspot region Catania Sunspot group 89 (NOAA AR 3141) and one C-class flare by Catania Sunspot group 89 (NOAA AR 3140), which became magnetically more complex (from alpha to beta class). The other sunspot groups on the solar surface visible from Earth didn’t show any significant flaring activity. The flaring activity over the next 24 hours is expected to be low levels with a low probability of M-class flare.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours. The coronal dimming associated to the C4.3-class flare on Nov 09 was observed in the new sunspot region located in the south-west.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were at nominal levels reflecting a slow solar wind speed regime: The solar wind speed was between 310 km/s and 360 km/s; the total interplanetary magnetic field decreased to values around 5-6 nT; and the southward interplanetary magnetic, Bz component ranged between -1.7 nT and 3.6 nT. The high-speed streams from a small and narrow equatorial coronal hole may arrive today and enhanced the solar wind conditions near Earth.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet (K-Belgium, Kp-NOAA ranged between 0 and 1). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions with possible short periods of active geomagnetic conditions are possible due to the arrival of the high-speed streams from a small and narrow equatorial coronal hole.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：075，基於15個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 09 Nov 2022

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	112
10厘米太陽通量	138
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	005
估計地磁Ap指數	007
估計國際太陽黑子數	086 - 基於29個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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