查看星期五, 23 12月 2022歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2022 Dec 23 1259 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
23 Dec 2022	131	016
24 Dec 2022	131	015
25 Dec 2022	131	008

公告

The solar flaring activity was at low levels with several small C-class flares. The flaring activity over the next 24 hours is expected to remain mostly at low levels, with C-class flares expected and a very small possibility for M-class flares.

Several coronal mass ejections and flows were observed in the currently available SOHO/LASCO coronagraph imagery and automatically detected by the Cactus tool over the past 24 hours. However, no clear Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were identified.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The electron fluence was at normal to low levels and is expected to stay at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters are enhanced due to the arrival of the high-speed stream associated to the equatorial coronal holes (positive polarity) reaching to the central meridian of the Sun on December 20. The solar wind speed reached values of 545 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field remained slightly enhanced and reached values up to 10.0 nT with the southward interplanetary magnetic component, Bz, ranging between -9.7 nT and 8.8 nT.

During the last 24 hours, the geomagnetic conditions were active (NOAA- Kp=2-4, and K-BEL=1-4) in response to the enhanced solar wind condition. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain unsettled with periods of active conditions in the next days.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：085，基於06個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 22 Dec 2022

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	130
10厘米太陽通量	131
AK Chambon La Forêt	024
AK Wingst	015
估計地磁Ap指數	014
估計國際太陽黑子數	102 - 基於15個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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