查看星期四, 6 4月 2023歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2023 Apr 06 1242 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 06 Apr 2023 到 08 Apr 2023 都有效
太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
06 Apr 2023137007
07 Apr 2023136005
08 Apr 2023136008

公告

During last 24 hours several C-class and one M-class flare were reported. The GOES M3.0 flare (peaked at 05:53 UT) was reported this morning. The flare originated from the region situated at the East solar limb, presently rotating to the visible side of the solar disc. The NOAA AR 3270 is still the most complex active region observed on the visible side of the solar disc, presently having beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. In the coming hours we can expect the C-class flares, the isolated M-class flares are possible but not very probable. The CME associated with the M3.0 flare had angular width of about 50 deg and velocity of about 450 km/s. We do not expect that this narrow and slow CME will arrive to Earth. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at the background levels, and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux was fluctuating around the 1000 pfu threshold. The 24h electron fluence is still at moderate to normal level. We do not expect significant change in these three parameters in the coming 24 hours.

The solar wind velocity strongly decreased during last 24 hours and its present value is about 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is around 5 nT. During last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet and we expect such a geomagnetic conditions to persist in the coming hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):047,基於15個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 05 Apr 2023

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量137
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst015
估計地磁Ap指數016
估計國際太陽黑子數056 - 基於23個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

06 0536 0553 0604 ////// M3.0 100 ///////
開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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