查看星期三, 8 11月 2023歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2023 Nov 08 1251 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
08 Nov 2023	143	013
09 Nov 2023	146	016
10 Nov 2023	146	010

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at low levels. The largest flare was a C6.9-flare, with peak time 08:48 UTC on November 08, associated with newly numbered NOAA AR 3483 (beta-gamma) which has rapidly grown in size and magnetic complexity and most of the flaring activity came from this active region. There are currently 5 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3479 (beta) grew in size but is now approaching the west limb. NOAA AR 3477 (beta), NOAA AR 3480 (beta-gamma) and NOAA AR 3482 (beta) have remained relatively stable and were mostly quiet. NOAA AR 3481, NOAA AR 3478 and NOAA AR 3476 have turned into plage regions. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at low levels over the coming days with C-class flares expected, M-class flares possible and a low chance for isolated X-class flaring.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in the last 24 hours.

太陽風

Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at low levels. The largest flare was a C6.9-flare, with peak time 08:48 UTC on November 08, associated with newly numbered NOAA AR 3483 (beta-gamma) which has rapidly grown in size and magnetic complexity and most of the flaring activity came from this active region. There are currently 5 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3479 (beta) grew in size but is now approaching the west limb. NOAA AR 3477 (beta), NOAA AR 3480 (beta- gamma) and NOAA AR 3482 (beta) have remained relatively stable and were mostly quiet. NOAA AR 3481, NOAA AR 3478 and NOAA AR 3476 have turned into plage regions. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at low levels over the coming days with C-class flares expected, M-class flares possible and a low chance for isolated X-class flaring.

地磁

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours reached active conditions globally (Kp 4) between 03:00 and 06:00 UT on November 08 and were at unsettled levels locally (K Bel 3). Unsettled to active conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background level over the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES-16 fluctuated around the 1000 pfu threshold between 16:00 UTC and 19:50 UTC on November 07. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to cross the 1000 pfu threshold again in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：114，基於15個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 07 Nov 2023

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	122
10厘米太陽通量	145
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	020
估計地磁Ap指數	020
估計國際太陽黑子數	081 - 基於27個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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