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SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Apr 07 1239 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
07 Apr 2025166013
08 Apr 2025164016
09 Apr 2025164011

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours with only C-class flared observed. The strongest activity was a C2.9 flare (SIDC Flare 4040) peaking on April 06 at 15:53 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 458 (NOAA Active Region 4045). The region has meanwhile decayed into a plage. A total of 10 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. The largest regions, responsible for most of the on-dick C-class flaring activity are SIDC Sunspot Group 461 (NOAA Active Region 4048) and SIDC Sunspot Group 468 (NOAA Active Region 4054), both classified as magnetic type beta. Solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next 24 hours with possible M-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are observed in the available coronagraph imagery.

日冕洞

A negative polarity coronal hole has crossed the central meridian over the past 24 hours. High speed stream emanating from it might be expected at Earth starting on April 10.

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) reflected a waning influence from a high speed stream. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) was relatively weak with a maximum value of 7 nT and a minimum Bz of -5 nT. The solar wind speed was gradually decreasing to values currently below 500 km/s. The B field phi angle was in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to continue their return towards slow solar wind conditions with possible further slight enhancements due to a weak connection to a negative polarity coronal hole, which crossed the central meridian on April 04.

地磁

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were predominantly unsettled with an isolated active period recorder locally over Belgium between 21h and 22h UTC on April 06. Predominantly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 48 hours with possible isolated active levels.

質子通量水平

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux has been at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 10 MeV GOES 16 and GOES 18 electron fluxes have exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold over the last 24 hours and are expected to remain largely above the 1000 pfu threshold in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):154,基於18個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 06 Apr 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量167
AK Chambon La Forêt025
AK Wingst022
估計地磁Ap指數076
估計國際太陽黑子數170 - 基於27個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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