查看星期四, 26 6月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Jun 26 1247 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
26 Jun 2025	116	025
27 Jun 2025	115	041
28 Jun 2025	114	018

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. The largest flare was a C1.3 flare peaking on June 26 at 08:55 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 526 (NOAA Active Region 4117). During the flare, the source region (AR 4117) of the flare had beta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. A total of 5 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 530 (NOAA Active Region 4120) is the complex region with its beta-gamma magnetic configurations. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours with C-class flares expected, M-class flares probable, and a small chance of X-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

A coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 images around 19:24 UTC on Jun 25. It was associated with a filament eruption on NW quadrant of the Sun, which was part of an extended filament in the northern hemisphere. The CME has a projected width of about 70 deg, projected speed of about 450 km/s, and it is not expected to arrive at the Earth. No other Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations during last 24 hour.

日冕洞

SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity) has crossed the central meridian and the high speed streams originating from this coronal hole are expected to impact the Earth until Jun 28.

太陽風

Earth is presently inside a fast solar wind stream, due to the arrival of high speed streams (HSSs) from the large SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity) which started to cross the central meridian on Jun 21. The solar wind speed ranged from 380 km/s to 850 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field ranged between 6 nT and 17 nT, and the North-South component (Bz) ranged betweeen -12 nT and 14 nT. In the next 24 hours, enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue with the further arrival of HSSs from the same coronal hole.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions were globally at unsettled to active conditions (NOAA Kp 3 to 4), and locally at quiet to active conditions (K_BEL 2 to 4) during the past 24 hours. The disturbed geomagnetic conditions was due to the arrival of high speed streams (HSSs) from the large SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity) which started to cross the central meridian on Jun 21. In the next 24 hours, unsettled to moderate storm conditions (K 3 to 6) are possible with the continuous arrival of HSSs from the same coronal hole.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and it is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-19, briefly crossed the 1000 pfu threshold level around 13:30 UTC and 18:00 UTC on Jun 25. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 satellite, reached above the threshold level at 17:15 UTC and dropped below it at 21:30 UTC on Jun 25. In the next 24 hours, the electron flux is expected to remain below the threshold level, but increasing above the threshold level cannot be excluded. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal level, and it is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：104，基於16個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 25 Jun 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	113
10厘米太陽通量	117
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	016
估計地磁Ap指數	016
估計國際太陽黑子數	091 - 基於27個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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